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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:  
  vs.

CIRENCESTER TOWN vs. MERTHYR TOWN
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)

 
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
 

No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.

 

A historical comparison of Cirencester Town's and Merthyr Town's ELO scores.


  Cirencester Town   Merthyr Town  
  Current ELO Score: 2802.6   2954.1  
  Best ELO Score: 2990.8  
Tuesday, August 16, 2005  
3670  
Saturday, September 3, 1921  
  Worst ELO Score: 2720.4  
Saturday, September 18, 2010  
2756.2  
Saturday, February 19, 2022  

 

A summary of all historical matches between Cirencester Town and Merthyr Town.

 Venue Played Cirencester Town
wins
Draws Merthyr Town
wins
Cirencester Town
goals
Merthyr Town
goals
Cirencester Town
SR%
Merthyr Town
SR%
 TOTAL 12 2 4 6 6 17 33.3% 66.7%
 HOME 6 1 4 1 4 5 50.0% 50.0%
 AWAY 6 1 0 5 2 12 16.7% 83.3%

Date Comp   Home Team Score   Away Team ELO
7 JAN 2017 CONF Cirencester Town  
(2779)  
0 - 2   Merthyr Town
  (3013)
7.3
20 AUG 2016 CONF Merthyr Town  
(2946)  
3 - 0   Cirencester Town
  (2845)
10.9
26 DEC 2015 CONF Merthyr Town  
(2849)  
0 - 1   Cirencester Town
  (2867)
10.6
31 AUG 2015 CONF Cirencester Town  
(2939)  
1 - 0   Merthyr Town
  (2906)
8
14 APR 2008 CONF Merthyr Tydfil  
(2899)  
3 - 0   Cirencester Town
  (2751)
8.5
22 SEP 2007 CONF Cirencester Town  
(2770)  
1 - 1   Merthyr Tydfil
  (2899)
2.2
6 MAR 2007 CONF Merthyr Tydfil  
(2921)  
2 - 0   Cirencester Town
  (2840)
9.5
26 AUG 2006 CONF Cirencester Town  
(2851)  
0 - 0   Merthyr Tydfil
  (2941)
1.1
10 DEC 2005 CONF Cirencester Town  
(2865)  
1 - 1   Merthyr Tydfil
  (2978)
1.6
2 SEP 2005 CONF Merthyr Tydfil  
(2993)  
3 - 1   Cirencester Town
  (2955)
11.1
12 APR 2005 CONF Merthyr Tydfil  
(2950)  
1 - 0   Cirencester Town
  (2942)
8.1
26 MAR 2005 CONF Cirencester Town  
(2926)  
1 - 1   Merthyr Tydfil
  (2967)
0.5